Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with fundamental factors like incumbency and each district’s. For 2025, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up.
Presidential candidates, polls, primaries and caucuses, voter information and results for november 5, 2025
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Electoral map based on 538 polling averages 30 days until the election, Numbers in parentheses represent that state's. The economist is tracking the contest to be americaโs next president.
